QC
QUICKLOGIC Corp (QUIK)·Q4 2019 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue of $2.87M declined year-over-year (vs. $3.23M in Q4 2018) but rose sequentially from $2.16M in Q3; non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 65.6% (GAAP 64.9%), aided by mix shift and SaaS/IP contributions .
- Non-GAAP net loss improved to $2.41M ($0.29/share) vs. $2.59M ($0.38/share) in Q4 2018; GAAP net loss was $3.06M ($0.37/share) .
- Announced ~30% headcount reduction and annualized OpEx savings of ~$4.0M, targeting non-GAAP breakeven/ profitability in 2020; Q1 2020 revenue guided to $2.3M ±10% and non-GAAP GM ~64% ±3% .
- Catalysts: Kyocera EOS S3 design win (Torque G04 smartphone), streaming/SmartTV voice remote ramp (Q2 start), SensiML customer base up to 44, and open-source tooling initiative with a mega-cap partner driving broader EOS S3/eFPGA adoption .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded sharply: non-GAAP GM 65.6% in Q4 vs. 52.6% in Q4 2018, driven by mature product mix and SaaS/IP; management highlighted “higher mix of mature product revenue and additional SaaS business” .
- Strategic wins: EOS S3 selected by Kyocera for Torque G04; expanded partner ecosystem (STMicro partner program, Flex/Infineon FLEXino kit, Antmicro/Renode support) to scale AI/edge deployments .
- Restructuring accelerates path to profitability: ~$4M annualized savings by Q2 run-rate with Q1 restructuring expense ~$600k; CEO: “leaner organization puts us on a trajectory to achieve our profitability goals” .
What Went Wrong
- New product revenue fell to $0.7M (vs. $1.3M YoY), reflecting display bridge declines and eFPGA license pushouts; hearables/China headwinds and AVS software shifts delayed ramps .
- Revenue YoY decline and ongoing losses: Q4 revenue $2.87M vs. $3.23M LY; GAAP net loss $3.06M; non-GAAP net loss $2.41M despite sequential improvement .
- Coronavirus impacts: management adopted a conservative 2020 stance, citing slower schedules in China and limited face-to-face engagement, tempering near-term hearables contribution .
Financial Results
Summary Financials (Trailing 3 Quarters)
Q4 Sequential and YoY Comps
Segment Breakdown
KPIs and Operational Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The bottom line result of these actions is that our leaner organization puts us on a trajectory to achieve our profitability goals, which is by far our highest priority this year.”
- “We expect revenue growth this year will be in stair-step increases starting in Q2… revenue for fiscal 2020 could end in the mid-to-high teens… gross profit margin for the year in the mid-60s… we should be close to non-GAAP operating income breaking even or becoming profitable towards the end of the year… I am very confident we will not need to raise capital to achieve profitability.”
- “SensiML closed Q4 with a total of 44 customers, 4 of which are Global Fortune 500… most are still using the evaluation version… planning on this contributing to a significant percentage of our expected revenue growth in 2020.”
- “Kyocera has chosen our EOS S3 platform for its Torque G04 smartphone… we are now designed into three released phones, up from zero just two quarters ago.”
- “We announced a significant restructuring… about $4 million in annualized savings once fully implemented in the middle of our second quarter… positive impact to our COGS.”
Q&A Highlights
- Mature product run-rate modeled at ~$1.7M per quarter; supports steady baseline while new products ramp .
- New product growth drivers prioritized: EOS S3 (Kyocera, streaming TV remote via Flex/Infineon channel), then SensiML SaaS, then eFPGA licensing; Kyocera opportunity modeled around ~$2M in 2020 depending on launch timing .
- Gross margin sustainability: management modeling mid-60% GM for 2020; Q1 guide ~64% ±3% .
- Breakeven math: revenue ~$6M per quarter at mid-60% GM and ~$3.5M OpEx run-rate to reach non-GAAP breakeven .
- eFPGA revenue framing: licensing could be “couple of million” in 2020; royalties more likely in 2021 .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2019 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to data access limits; therefore, beats/misses vs. consensus cannot be determined at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin story improving: mix shift toward mature products and SaaS/IP lifted non-GAAP GM to ~66%; management guides mid-60% GM for 2020—supportive for leverage upon revenue ramps .
- Restructuring is a near-term catalyst: ~$4M annualized savings and Q2 OpEx run-rate ~$3.5M raise confidence in reaching non-GAAP breakeven without capital raises .
- Product ramps visible: Kyocera Torque G04 and voice-enabled remotes (Q2 timing) provide tangible EOS S3 revenue drivers; European region exposure surged in Q4 .
- SensiML momentum and ecosystem partnerships (STMicro, Nordic, Flex/Infineon, mega-cap open-source) broaden funnel; conversion pace remains the focus for SaaS revenue scaling .
- eFPGA positioned for platform-scale adoption via Alibaba/Pingtogue and mega-cap partner; licensing timing remains variable but could contribute meaningfully in 2020 .
- Near-term caution: Coronavirus-related delays and China uncertainties temper Q1 outlook; expect “stair-step” increases starting Q2—trade accordingly around execution milestones (remote launch, Kyocera model additions) .
- Cash runway adequate: $21.5M cash at Q4 end (incl. line of credit), declining cash usage guided for Q1; management does not expect equity raise to achieve profitability .
Please note: Share and per-share data reflect the 1-for-14 reverse split effective December 24, 2019 .